Math 340 Remarks and Hints Related to Homework Problems ___________________________________________________________________________ Below for the complement of an event A I will use A^c, and for the intersection of two events A and B I will either use AB or (A int B). ____________________________________________________________________________ (p.10, #4) a. P(LL) = P(0 or 00) = 2/38. b. P(at least one of us wins) = P(LW) + P(WL) + P(WW) = 18/38 + 18/38 + 0 = 36/38 or, = 1 - P(LL) = 1 - 2/38 = 36/38, same number. c. P(at least one of us loses) = 1 - P(WW) = 1 - 0 = 1, or = P(LW) + P(WL) + P(LL) = 18/38 + 18/38 + 2/38 = 1. ______________________________________________________________________________ Page 10, #5 a. 52 x 51 ordered pairs since we have 52 choices for the first card and 51 choices for the second card. b. 4/52 since there are 4 aces and 52 cards in a deck of cards. c. It dependes on what the first card drawn was. So we need to consider P(ace on 2nd) = P(ace on 1st and ace on2nd) + P(not ace on 1st and ace on 2nd) = (4/52)(3/51) + (48/52)(4/51) d. (4/52)(3/51) e. P(ace and ace) + P(ace and not ace) + P(not ace and ace) = (4/52)(3/51) + (4/52)(48/51) + (48/52)(4/51) ______________________________________________________________________________ (p.31, #8) a. P(AUB) = P(A) + P(B) - P(AB) = 0.8 b. P(A^c) = 1 - P(A) = 0.4 c. P(B^c) = 1 - P(B) = 0.6 d. P(A^c B) Note that for any event B: B=B int (Omega) = B int (A U A^c) = (B int A) U (B int A^c) Hence, P(B) = P(B int A) + P(B int A^c), since these two sets are disjoint Therefore, 0.4 = 0.2 + P(B int A^c) => P(B int A^c) = 0.2 e. P(AUB^c) = P((A^c int B)^c) = 1 - P(A^c int B) = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8 f. P(A^c B^c) P((AUB)^c) = 1 - P(AUB) = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2 ______________________________________________________________________________ (p.31, #9c) Consider the following (I will use F^c for the complement of F in Omega, etc.): F^c G^c H = (F U G)^c H = (F U G U H^c)^c Thus, the prob. of the l.h.s. above is equal to the prob. of the r.h.s. above. Hence, P(F^c G^c H) = 1 - P(F U G U H^c) = 1 - [P(F)+P(G)+P(H^c)-P(FG)-P(FH^c)-P(GH^c)+P(FGH^c)] The only term above that is more challenging is the last one. Prove the following: (FGH^c) U (FGH) = FG. Then, since the two terms on the l.h.s. are disjoint we get: P(FGH^c) + P(FGH) = P(FG). Every term in the last equation is known except P(FGH^c) which is the one we wanted. ______________________________________________________________________________ (Page 31, #13) Proof is by induction. First prove the formula for the case n=2. Then, assuming that the formula is true for n=k, prove the formula for n=k+1. In that case we have P(A_1 U A_2 U ... U A_(k+1)) \leq P(A_1 U ... U A_k) + P(A_(k+1)) \leq P(A_1) + ... + P(A_(k+1)) using the result of the case for n=1 and the assumption for the case of n=k+1. ADDITIONAL DETAILS: STEP 1: SHOW TRUE WHEN N=2. P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(AB) < P(A) + P(B), since P(AB) \geq 0 STEP 2: ASSUME TRUE WHEN N=K. Hence, by this assumption we assume that: P(A_1 U ... U A_K) \leq Sum_{i=1}^{i=k} P(A_i). STEP 3: INDUCTIVE STEP, SHOW TRUE FOR N = K+1. We need to show that P(A_1 U ... U A_(k+1)) \leq Sum_{i=1}^{i=k+1} P(A_i) Denote the event (A_1 U ... U A_k) by B. Then, the left-hand-side of what we need to show is: LHS = P(B U A_{k+1}) \leq P(B) + P(k+1), by STEP 1 = P(A_1 U ... U A_k) + P_{k+1}, backsubstituting for the event B \leq P(A_1) + ... + P(A_k) + P(A_{k+1}), by STEP 2. QED! _____________________________________________________________________________