Geography 311
 
El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
 
1.  The Eastern Equatorial Pacific
    (1).  Dry Zone
          A.  From the coast of South America (Ecuador and northern Peru)
              westward to about the 165 oE meridian (approximately 7000
              miles long).
          B.  Approximately from the 3 oN to 10 oS (north-south width).
          C.  A cold water tongue (zone)
              (A)  The Peru cold ocean current:  The ocean surface
                  water flows from the Antarctica to the equator.
              (B)  Upwelling
                  a.  The nutrient-rich cold water rises to the ocean
                      surface from below.
                  b.  Blooms of phytoplankton (a tiny plant) produce a
                      thin layer of chlorophyll that can be identified
                      from the satellite image.
                  c.  Coast upwelling off the South America.
                      (a).  100 miles wide.
                      (b).  The ocean surface water flows to the left of
                            the prevailing southerly flow, away from the
                            coast (the Ekman’s spiral).
                  d.  The equatorial upwelling
                      The surface water divergence associated with the
                      subtropical Highs in the both hemisphere.
                      (a) Northern Hemisphere:  The equatorial water
                          flows away from the equator (to the right of
                          the easterly wind).
                      (b) Southern Hemisphere: The equatorial water
                          flows away from the equator (to the left of the
                          easterly wind).
        D.  The ITCZ is to the north of the dry zone.
    (2) large rainfall variability
        A.  Strong easterlies: strong divergence and upwelling, less
            rainfall.
        B.  Weak easterlies: weak divergence and upwelling, more rainfall.
        C.  Westerlies: more disturbances and more rainfall.
        D.  The desert islands of the central equatorial Pacific:
            (A).  Normal year: little or no rainfall.
            (B).  El Nino years (low SOI index year): torrential rains day
                  after day, month after month.
2.   The Western Equatorial Pacific
     (1)  Indonesia and northern Australia (marine continents).
     (2)  Warm ocean water and humid climate.
     (3)  A warm water pool between 5 oN and 10 oS supplies the thermal
          energy to drive the Hadley circulation in both hemispheres.
     (4)  Strong convective activity (thunderstorm clouds) normally.
3.   The Walker’s Circulation (named by Bjerknes in 1969)
     (1)  A longitudinal (east-west) standing (Up and down) atmospheric
          circulation over the equatorial Pacific.
          A.  The surface easterlies and upper westerlies.
          B.  The western equatorial Pacific (Indonesia and North
              Australia): rising airs (convections).
          C.  The eastern equatorial Pacific (Peru and Ecuador coasts,
              Galapagos Islands, Tahiti, Christmas Island and Easter
              Island): subsidences (sinking airs).
     (2)  Caused by a longitudinal temperature gradient.
     (3)  Part of the Walker”s Southern Oscillation:  The east-west
          standing circulations over the entire tropical latitudes of the
          earth (the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian oceans).
     (4)  The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI)
          A.  In South Pacific, when air pressure rises in the east, it
              usually falls in the west (the seesaw in southern Pacific
              pressures).
          B.  SOI calculations
              (A)  Santiago (Chile, 33 oS) air pressure -  Darwin
                  (Australia, 12 oS) air pressure.
              (B)  Tahiti air pressure - Darwin air pressure.
          C.  Low index period : El Nino
              The weakening of the equatorial easterlies.
4.   El Nino (The Christ Child or the Christ Boy)
     (1)  Definition:
          A warm and heavy rainy period along the coasts of Ecuador and
          Peru near the Christmas-time  and lasts for several months ( to
          June).
     (2)  Ten El Ninos in the past 40 years:
          A.  Weak El Ninos:   
              Water temperatures rose about 1 to 2 oF over the eastern
              equatorial cold and dry zone.
          B.  Strong El Nino (1982-83)
              (A)  The strongest and unusual one in the century  
                  a.  Set in late and last 10 months into 1983.
                  b.  Not preceded by a period of stronger than normal
                      easterlies on the equator (caught scientists by
                      surprise).
              (B)  West of the dateline to Indonesia:
                  The easterly surface winds began to weaken in May 1982
                  and eventually shifted to the westerly winds in a few
                  weeks.
              (C)  Sea level at Christmas Island in the middle Pacific
                  rose several inches.
              (D)  By October, sea level rose up to a foot spreading
                  6,000 miles eastward to Ecuador.
              (E)  The western Pacific: Sea level dropped exposing
                  and destroying the upper Layers of the coral reefs
                  surrounding many islands.
              (F)  Sea-surface temperatures at the Galapagos Islands
                  and along the coast of Ecuador rose from typical levels
                  in the low 70s well up into the 80s(oF).
              (G)  Losses of sea birds and fish species:
                  a.   Deaths and disappearances of sea birds at 
                       Christmas Island.                     
                  b.   25% of the fur seal and sea lion adults and all of
                       pups had died when the condition returned to
                       normal in mid-1983.
                  c.   Tropical and subtropical fish species migrated
                       poleward: sardines in Chilean water.
                  d.   Unexpected harvest of warm-water scallops on the
                       normally cold coast of Ecuador.
                  e.   Ecuador and Peru: anchovy harvest failed. 
              (H)  Effects on land
                  a.   Ecuador and northern Peru: 
                       100 inches of rain fell during a six month period:
                       Transforming the coast desert into grassland
                       dotted with lakes (explosions of grasshoppers,
                       toads, birds, mosquitoes).
                  b.   Tahiti and Hawaii: unusual severe hurricane
                       attacks (steered by abnormal wind patterns).          
                  c.   The central Pacific: heavy monsoon rainfall.
                  d.   The western equatorial Pacific (Indonesia and
                       Australia): drought.   
                  e.   Southern California and the southern USA: floods.
                  f.   Northern USA and Canada: mild weather and lack of
                       snow.
                  g.   Africa and India: drought.     
              (I)  world wide economic loss:  $8 billion.
    (3)  Causes (Mechanisms)
         A.   Strengthening of trade winds (easterlies):
              (A)  western equatorial Pacific (Indonesia, northern
                  Australia): rising sea level (warm water piles up and
                   is sustained by the strong easterlies).
              (B)  Eastern equatorial Pacific (Ecuador and Peru):
                  lowering sea level, rising thermocline almost to the
                   surface, strong upwelling.
         B.   Weakening of trade winds in both hemispheres (Wyrtiki’s
              theory): 
              The equatorial Pacific is characterized by the easterlies
              (trade winds) during the normal year.
              (A)  The upwelling in the dry zone also weakens or even
                  disappears:  Thermocline flattens out.
              (B)  The Kelvin wave (eastward flow of the warm water
                  which was piled up on western Pacific during period of
                  strong easterlies) progresses eastward across the
                  equatorial Pacific, raising sea level and bringing warm
                  El Nino to South America.
              (C)  Sea level flattens out, dropping in the west and
                  rising in the east.
              (D)  Shift of the convective zone from western Pacific
                  to central Pacific and eastern Pacific.
          C.  Abnormal warming of the ocean water which supplies energy
              to the overlying atmosphere by means of sensible heat
              transfer and evaporation.
          D.  Hadley circulation is intensified and it is in turn
              accelerated the Ferrel westerlies by transferring the
              angular momentum from the tropics to the subtropical jet
              stream that may cross over southern USA including southern
              California.
          E.  Over South America, the ITCZ is displaced southward more
              than usual.
    (4)   Thermolcline
          A.  The dividing layer between the warm surface water and the
              deep cold water: A zone of strong vertical water temperature
              gradient.
          B.  Rich nutrients in the cold water below the thermocline.
          C.  Absence of winds: flat thermocline.
          D.  Strong easterlies (trade winds): 
              The thermocline rises in the eastern equatorial Pacific and
              plunged in the western equatorial Pacific (shallow in the
              east and deep in the west).
          E.  Weak easterlies (El Nino, low SOI)
              Thermocline flattened out (rise on the west and drop on the 
              east).           
5.  La Nina
    (1).  Christ girl.
    (2).  A extreme cold and dry period in the eastern equatorial Pacific
          including northern Peru and Ecuador.        
    (3).  A reversal of El Nino.
    (4).  A period of extreme cold water tongue in the eastern equatorial
          dry zone.
    (5).  A period of strong easterlies (high SOI).
    (6).  The Subtropical Highs in both hemispheres intensify.
    (7).  The jet stream stays in northern United States, bringing heavy
          rains to northern California, Oregon and Washington states.
6.  Pineapple connection (express)
    (1).  A subtropical jet that extends from near Hawaii Islands to
          southern California, bringing winter storms during the El Nino
          time.
    (2).  Convective zone (thunderstorm zone) moves from the
          maritime continents to the central Pacific near the
          international date line. 
 
Please click on the following links for details (optional):
 

            http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/elnino/nino-home.html

            http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/lanina.html

            http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2748.htm

            http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml#current